Futures
US Futures Mixed Ahead of Inflation Data; 2024's Best Election Year?
2024-12-11
In premarket hours on Wednesday, U.S. futures were in a mixed state as crucial inflation data awaited. Major index futures such as the Dow Jones and Russell 2000 saw declines, while the Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 advanced. The 10-year and two-year Treasury notes yielded 4.24% and 4.17% respectively. Expectations of a further 25 basis point rate cut in December rose to 86.1%, up from 78.1% a week ago, according to CME Group’s FedWatch tool. Economists anticipate that annual CPI inflation will increase from 2.6% in October to 2.7% in November, with core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, projected to remain steady at 3.3% year-over-year and show a 0.3% monthly gain, mirroring October’s pace. Wednesday’s release will offer insights into inflation trends, with Federal Reserve officials in a quiet period ahead of their December meeting.

Unraveling the Pre-Market Dynamics of U.S. Futures and Inflation

Nasdaq 100: A Tale of Contrasting Movements

The Nasdaq 100 showed a 0.21% increase in premarket trading. This upward trend is a notable development in the midst of the overall market fluctuations. It reflects the specific dynamics at play within the technology-driven sector. The Nasdaq 100 often leads the way in terms of innovation and growth, and this small gain indicates that some of the key companies within this index are maintaining their positions. For instance, companies like Amazon and Microsoft, which have a significant presence in the Nasdaq 100, are likely to be driving this upward momentum. Their strong performance in various markets and sectors contributes to the overall stability and growth potential of the index.Furthermore, the Nasdaq 100’s performance is closely watched by investors as it serves as a barometer for the tech sector. A sustained increase in this index can have a ripple effect on other markets and sectors, influencing investor sentiment and market trends. It also highlights the resilience of the tech industry in the face of economic uncertainties. In recent months, the tech sector has faced its fair share of challenges, but the Nasdaq 100’s ability to show positive movement indicates that there are still opportunities for growth and innovation within this sector.

S&P 500: A Moderate Uptick in Pre-Market

The S&P 500 witnessed a 0.10% increase in premarket trading. This moderate gain is significant as the S&P 500 is considered a broad-based index that represents a large portion of the U.S. stock market. It suggests that there is a level of confidence among investors despite the mixed signals from other indices. The companies included in the S&P 500 are from various sectors, and their collective performance reflects the overall health of the economy. A small increase in the index indicates that these companies are performing well and are likely to continue to do so in the near future.Moreover, the S&P 500’s movement is closely monitored by market analysts and investors alike. It provides a benchmark for evaluating the performance of individual stocks and portfolios. A consistent upward trend in the S&P 500 can lead to increased investor participation and a more positive market sentiment. On the other hand, a decline in the index can trigger sell-offs and a more cautious approach among investors. Therefore, any movement in the S&P 500 is closely watched and analyzed to gain insights into the market’s direction.

Dow Jones: A Slight Downtrend in Pre-Market

The Dow Jones experienced a -0.12% decline in premarket trading. While the decline is relatively small, it is still a notable development as the Dow Jones is one of the most widely followed indices. It indicates that some of the blue-chip companies within the index may be facing challenges or that there is a general sense of uncertainty in the market. The Dow Jones is composed of 30 large, established companies, and their performance can have a significant impact on the overall market.However, it is important to note that a single-day decline in the Dow Jones does not necessarily indicate a long-term trend. The stock market is known for its volatility, and short-term fluctuations are common. In some cases, a decline in the Dow Jones can be seen as an opportunity for investors to buy undervalued stocks. It is also possible that the decline is due to specific events or factors that are affecting certain sectors or companies within the index. Therefore, investors need to analyze the underlying reasons for the Dow Jones’ movement and consider it in the context of the broader market.

Russell 2000: A Minimal Decrease in Pre-Market

The Russell 2000 showed a -0.03% decrease in premarket trading. This minimal decline is in line with the overall mixed picture in the premarket. The Russell 2000 represents small-cap stocks and is often seen as a barometer for the health of the small business sector. A small decrease in this index suggests that small-cap stocks may be facing some headwinds, but the impact is not significant enough to cause widespread concern.Small-cap stocks have historically been more volatile than their larger counterparts, and the Russell 2000’s movement reflects this volatility. However, a decline in the Russell 2000 does not necessarily mean that the small business sector is in trouble. It could be a temporary setback due to various factors such as market conditions or specific events affecting certain small companies. Investors need to closely monitor the performance of the Russell 2000 and consider it along with other indices and market indicators to make informed investment decisions.This week’s economic calendar is filled with important data releases that will play a crucial role in shaping investors’ future plans and strategies. On Wednesday, November’s headline and core consumer price index data will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET, providing valuable insights into inflation trends. The monthly U.S. federal budget data will also be released at 2:00 p.m. ET, offering a glimpse into the government’s financial situation.On Thursday, initial jobless claims data till Dec. 7 and the core and headline producer price index for November will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET. These data points will help investors assess the health of the labor market and inflation at the producer level. On Friday, the import price index data will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET, providing information on the cost of imported goods.Stocks in focus include Rigetti Computing Inc. RGTI, which rose 12.3% in premarket after making progress in quantum computing with its partner Quantum Machines. GameStop Corp. GME increased 3.30% in the premarket session despite a dip in revenue, highlighting its ability to turn a profit. Alphabet Inc. GOOG GOOGL rose 1.20% in premarket after announcing a major development in quantum computing using its Willow quantum chip. Quantum Computing Inc. QUBT declined 6.7% in premarket hours as it entered into a securities purchase agreement. Sealsq Corp. LAES rose 138.18% after partnering with IC’ALPS to strengthen its ASIC development capabilities. Investors are also awaiting earnings results from Macy’s, Inc. M, Adobe Inc. ADBE, and Nordson Corporation NDSN today.In the commodities market, crude oil futures rose 1.14% in the early New York session to hover around $69.7 per barrel. The gold spot index increased by 0.26% to $2,725.21 per ounce, while the Dollar Index was up 0.26% to 106.68 level. Asian markets were mixed on Wednesday, with China’s CSI 300, Australia’s ASX 200, and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng declining, while Japan’s Nikkei 225, India’s S&P BSE Sensex, and South Korea’s Kospi Index advanced. Most European markets also declined.Overall, the premarket activity and upcoming economic data provide a complex picture for investors. While there are signs of both growth and decline, the release of key data will help clarify the market’s direction and guide investment decisions.
Nasdaq Reaches 20,000 with Tesla and Big Tech Stocks Soaring
2024-12-11
The stock market is a complex and ever-changing landscape, with various factors influencing its movements. In this article, we will explore the after-hours performance of Dow Jones futures, along with other key indices and individual stocks. Let's dive in and uncover the trends and opportunities.

Uncover the Secrets of the Stock Market After-Hours

After-Hours Dow Jones Futures

Dow Jones futures edged lower after hours, along with S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq futures. This indicates a potential shift in the market sentiment. However, it's important to note that overnight action in Dow futures doesn't necessarily translate into actual trading in the next regular stock market session.

Investors need to closely monitor these futures movements as they can provide valuable insights into the market's direction. It's a crucial aspect of staying informed and making informed investment decisions.

Stock Market Rally

The stock market rally marched higher, with the Nasdaq clearing the 20,000 level for the first time and the S&P 500 almost at all-time levels. Credit the megacaps for driving this upward momentum.

Major stocks like Tesla (TSLA), Alphabet (GOOGL), Amazon.com (AMZN), Meta Platforms (META), and Apple (AAPL) hit new highs intraday. This shows the strength and resilience of these leading companies in the market.

Megacap Stocks

Tesla stock jumped 5.9% to 424.77, clearing the November 2021 all-time high. This move out of the three-year consolidation could be seen as a buy signal, but shares are significantly extended from moving averages. A pause around current levels might offer a lower-risk entry point.

Alphabet stock leaped 5.5% to 195.40, reaching a new peak. On Tuesday, it gapped up 5.6% and cleared a 182.49 cup-with-handle buy point with the introduction of a new quantum-computing chip. Wednesday's move was further fueled by the unveiling of its latest AI tool, Gemini 2.0.

Amazon stock climbed 2.3% to 230.26, hitting yet another high and becoming increasingly extended. Meta stock gained 2.2% to 632.68, now extended from a 602.95 flat-base buy point. These megacaps continue to dominate the market and drive its upward trajectory.

Nvidia stock rose 3.1% to 139.313, just above the 50-day line but below the 21-day A 140.76 buy point. While still actionable, investors might want to see more strength and reach various levels between 143-150.

Microsoft stock advanced 1.3% to 448.99. Shares are still actionable from the 50-day line and a short-term high of 441.85. MSFT stock is moving toward a 468.35 consolidation buy point, showing its potential for further growth.

Apple stock dipped 0.5% to 246.49, reversing from a fresh high of 250.80. Shares are within range of a 237.49 flat-base buy point according to MarketSurge analysis. Apple has reportedly tasked Broadcom to assist with an in-house AI server chip.

(Broadcom stock jumped 6.6% on Thursday, clearing an early entry and nearing an official buy point. However, Broadcom earnings are due Thursday night, which could have significant implications for Nvidia and the chip sector.)

ETFs and Market Trends

Among growth ETFs, the Innovator IBD 50 ETF (FFTY) rebounded 2%. The iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF (IGV) climbed 1.55%, with Microsoft stock and Adobe as key members. The VanEck Vectors Semiconductor ETF (SMH) popped 2.45%, with Nvidia stock as the dominant member and Broadcom as a notable holding.

Reflecting more-speculative story stocks, ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK) gained 2% while ARK Genomics ETF (ARKG) sank 1.5%. Tesla stock is a major weight across Ark Invest's ETFs, and Cathie Wood also built up a big Nvidia stake.

SPDR S&P Metals & Mining ETF (XME) rose a fraction. The SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF (XHB) and Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLI) fell 0.2%. The Energy Select SPDR ETF (XLE) and Financial Select SPDR ETF (XLF) climbed 0.2%. The Health Care Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLV) slumped 1.4%, showing the diversity of market movements across different sectors.

Remember to keep an eye on these ETFs and their trends as they can provide valuable signals about the overall market and specific sectors. Stay informed and adapt your investment strategies accordingly.

The stock market rally continues to power higher, with a few stocks like Google flashing buy signals this week. However, it's important to maintain a balanced approach and work on watchlists and have a game plan for adding exposure and scaling back. Read The Big Picture every day to stay in sync with the market direction and leading stocks and sectors.

Please follow Ed Carson on Threads at @edcarson1971 and X/Twitter at @IBD_ECarson for stock market updates and more.

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Montclair Foundation Secures $5,000 Garden Futures Grant in 2024
2024-12-11
The Montclair Foundation has achieved a remarkable feat by being awarded a $5,000 Garden Futures Grant from The Garden Conservancy for the year 2024. Out of a large pool of 113 applicants, this foundation stood out as one of the 23 selected small public gardens and nonprofits. Their impactful garden-based programming and dedication to preserving garden history have truly made a mark.

Unlock the Beauty and History of Van Vleck House & Gardens

Impactful Garden-Based Programming

Mark Packer, the executive director of The Montclair Foundation, expressed his heartfelt gratitude for this recognition. He emphasized that this affirmation of their work validates the crucial role that garden-based and environmental education programs play within their community. It provides them with the means to carry on their mission of maintaining and preserving the history of Van Vleck House & Gardens. Annually, they welcome over 25,000 visitors, while also offering vital educational programming to more than 5,000 seniors, adults, and children. This grant will enable them to further expand their community engagement in environmental stewardship and education, ensuring that future generations can continue to be inspired by the Gardens' beauty and cultural significance.The Montclair Foundation, a 501(c)3 nonprofit, has a long history of making a difference. In its 45 years of grantmaking, they have awarded over $3.6 million to nonprofit programs. Their commitment to the historic preservation of Van Vleck House & Gardens, which they acquired in 1993, is unwavering. This property plays a vital role in the educational enrichment and cultural enjoyment of the community.

Preserving Garden History

The $5,000 Garden Futures Grant is a significant boost for the foundation's efforts in preserving the rich history of Van Vleck House & Gardens. It allows them to invest in resources and initiatives that will safeguard this precious heritage for years to come. By doing so, they are not only honoring the past but also creating opportunities for present and future generations to connect with and appreciate the beauty and significance of these gardens. The foundation's work in this area is truly commendable and sets an example for other organizations in the community.With this grant, the Montclair Foundation is able to enhance their educational programs and outreach efforts. They can reach a wider audience and provide more in-depth learning experiences about the history and importance of gardens. This will have a lasting impact on the community, fostering a greater appreciation for the natural world and the role that gardens play in our lives.In conclusion, the Montclair Foundation's receipt of the Garden Futures Grant is a testament to their hard work and dedication. It allows them to continue their important work in preserving garden history and providing educational opportunities. With their continued efforts, Van Vleck House & Gardens will remain a cherished part of the community for generations to come.
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