Futures
Stock Futures Little Changed After S&P 500's 3rd Winning Week
2024-12-08
U.S. stock futures showed minimal fluctuations on Sunday night. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite had just completed their third consecutive winning week, with investors eagerly awaiting key inflation data to be released this week. This data is expected to provide crucial insights into the future direction of the market. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures rose by 11 points, equivalent to 0.02%, while S&P 500 futures gained 0.02% and the Nasdaq 100 futures remained flat. The previous Friday saw the S&P 500 and Nasdaq close at new records, with weekly increases of 0.96% and 3.34% respectively. However, the Dow was the only laggard, closing the week down 0.6%. These movements followed the November jobs report, which showed stronger-than-expected growth but not enough to dampen investor hopes of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut this month. The CME FedWatch Tool indicates that markets are pricing in an 85% chance of a quarter-point rate cut at the December 18 meeting.

Expert Insights on the Fed's Actions

Wharton School's finance professor Jeremy Siegel shared his views with CNBC's "Closing Bell" on Friday. He stated that "Everything else is working exactly the way the Fed wants. I think we're going to have one rate cut on that December 18 meeting, but truthfully, I think only two or three rate cuts next year. I think this strength could last." This provides valuable perspective on the potential future actions of the Federal Reserve and its impact on the stock market.

Inflation Data and Market Expectations

The November consumer price index, due out on Wednesday, is expected to show a slight uptick in pricing pressures. Economists polled by Dow Jones anticipate a 0.3% monthly increase and a 2.7% yearly increase. This would be an upward trend from the previous month's figures of 0.2% and 2.6% respectively. These expectations add to the market's anticipation and uncertainty surrounding inflation and its potential effects on stock prices.

Corporate Earnings and Market Activity

Corporate earnings continue to be a focus on Monday, with Oracle's results expected after the market close. This will provide further insights into the financial health of individual companies and their impact on the overall market. In addition, on Monday, investors will await October wholesale inventories data, which is due at 10 a.m. ET. This data will help in understanding the supply and demand dynamics in the economy and its implications for stock futures.
Korean Won Suffers Worst Weekly Drop Amid Martial Law Turmoil
2024-12-08
The real-time index on the won-dollar exchange rate has long been a subject of keen interest in the financial world. In Seoul, at a dealing room of Hana Bank on December 6, this index is vividly displayed on an electronic board. Last week, the Korean currency faced a significant downturn, emerging as the worst performer globally. This was mainly due to the political turmoil that followed President Yoon Suk Yeol's short-lived declaration of martial law, which had a profound impact on market sentiment.

Impact of Political Developments on the Won

According to data compiled by Yonhap Infomax, the Korean won dropped by 24.5 won per dollar over the past week. This marked the sharpest weekly fall since the third week of January when the currency dropped 25.5 won. On Friday, the won was down 1.86 percent against the greenback compared to a week earlier, outperforming other major currencies. The Australian dollar lost 1.32 percent, and the Chinese yuan fell 0.36 percent against the U.S. dollar. Meanwhile, the Japanese yen and the British pound gained 0.1 percent and 0.26 percent, respectively. During offshore intraday trading on Wednesday, the won plunged to 1,442 won, the lowest since October 2022. Even after President Yoon declared emergency martial law in a surprise late-night televised address, the currency remained at the 1,400 won level. At 3:30 p.m. on Friday, the local currency was quoted at 1,419.20 won against the greenback, down 4.1 won from the previous session.Economist Moon Jeong-hee from KB Kookmin Bank pointed out that the political developments have further dented investor sentiment. This sentiment was already affected by concerns about the semiconductor industry cycle and the uncertainty stemming from Donald Trump's tariff policy. The political unease also led foreign investors to dump local shares. During the three sessions from Wednesday to Friday, overseas investors sold a net 1.09 trillion won ($765.45 million) worth of shares in the benchmark Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI) market.The won-dollar exchange rate is not just a number on a board; it reflects the complex interplay of political, economic, and market forces. As we continue to monitor these fluctuations, it becomes clear that understanding the underlying factors is crucial for making informed financial decisions.
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Украина одобрила условия получения $20 млрд от ФФБ за счет замороженных РФ
2024-12-08
Москва, 9 декабря – АиФ-Москва. Украинское правительство одобрило важное соглашение, которое предусматривает 40-летний заем на сумму до 20 млрд долларов. Это финансирование стало возможным благодаря инициативе стран G7.

Финансирование и его источники

Страны G7 выделяют Украине 50 млрд долларов из доходов от замороженных российских активов. Эти средства будут направлены в Фонд финансового посредничества, учрежденный Всемирным банком 10 октября 2024 года. Реализация соглашения включает заключение договора о покупке сертификата, в котором Украина выступает заемщиком. Партнерами выступают Федеральный финансовый банк (FFB) и Агентство США по международному развитию (USAID). Также предусмотрено подписание договора гарантии и погашения займа между Украиной и USAID. Министерство финансов Украины выпустит сертификат задолженности в пользу FFB, который будет обеспечен гарантией USAID.

Процентная ставка по займу составляет 1,3% годовых с добавлением текущей средней ставки по американским казначейским облигациям со сроком в один год. Выплаты по процентам и погашение основной суммы долга будут обеспечиваться за счет доходов от замороженных российских активов.

План реализации

Соглашение предусматривает четкое планирование действий. Украина начинает получать кредит в ближайшие недели, как сообщил госсекретарь Соединенных Штатов Энтони Блинкен. Это будет важный шаг в поддержке украинской экономики и ее восстановления после длительных конфликтов.

Финансирование будет использоваться для укрепления украинской экономики и решения важных задач. Он поможет восстановить инфраструктуру, поддержать бизнесы и улучшить жизнь граждан. Это важное решение, которое может принести существенный вклад в развитие Украины.

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