As Ramaa Vasudevan, an economics professor at Colorado State University, pointed out, "That bitcoin hit the $100,000 mark reflects the expectation of both political support and regulatory latitude under the incoming administration." The nomination of crypto-enthusiasts for administrative posts has sent a strong signal of the embrace of bitcoin and crypto.
Trump's election may have sparked the initial rally, but the financial establishment's growing acceptance of bitcoin in recent months provided the necessary fuel. Once a niche curiosity, bitcoin is now a mainstream digital currency that everyday Americans can invest in through reputable retail investment accounts. This increased legitimacy has given bitcoin some staying power, even if it is still debated whether it is a bubble or a legitimate investment.
Molly White, a cryptocurrency researcher and critic, noted that "Atkins is fairly establishment; he has the SEC background, but he also was a very strong advocate for deregulation when he was in the SEC and certainly since then." Atkins is also a co-chair of the Chamber of Digital Commerce's Token Alliance, which advocates for lax regulation of cryptocurrencies.
Perianne Boring, the CEO of the Chamber of Digital Commerce, is rumored to be one of Trump's top picks to head the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). Currently, cryptocurrency is under the purview of the SEC, but the Trump administration is considering regulating it as a commodity instead, which would bring it under the CFTC's jurisdiction. This change could have a significant impact on the regulatory landscape of cryptocurrencies.
In January, the SEC approved the first bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in the US. ETFs provide indirect access to cryptocurrency, allowing investors to participate in the market without directly buying and storing bitcoin. Firms like BlackRock, Invesco, Fidelity, Grayscale, and Ark Invest have launched bitcoin funds, offering new investors easier ways to invest in cryptocurrency.
Previously, investors had limited options for trading bitcoin. They could buy it on an exchange but faced challenges in storing it safely. Now, ETFs offer an established and regulated option. However, as Swati Sharma, Vox Editor-in-Chief, mentioned, "While no one can predict the exact inflection point or when the price will stabilize, the long-term driver of bitcoin's rise is its evolution — not just as digital gold, but as a foundational layer of global financial infrastructure."
Despite the optimism, there are concerns. Vasudevan warned that there is still reason to believe that crypto's climb won't last forever. Bitcoin has surged before only to crash precipitously, as seen in November 2022 after the FTX collapse. The price of crypto is still based largely on speculation rather than inherent value.
For instance, Brad Garlinghouse, the CEO of Ripple, whose cryptocurrency XRP is one of the largest in the world, emphasizes the significance of this industry. He believes that those who underestimate the passion of crypto enthusiasts are missing a crucial aspect. Cryptocurrencies offer a unique financial alternative that attracts a specific demographic.
The voter base for cryptocurrencies is on the rise and presents an opportunity. While they support policies favorable to the industry, crypto voters do not have a unified stance on which party will best serve their interests. Most research shows a near-even split between support for the Republican and Democratic parties.
On the other hand, John Reed Stark, a former chief of internet enforcement at the Securities and Exchange Commission, is critical of crypto. He understands the reasons behind people's interest but maintains that cryptocurrency is dangerous. He believes that the financial crisis led to a lack of trust in institutions, which contributed to the appeal of cryptocurrency.
However, the industry was not straightforward in making crypto connections in its ads. For example, Democrat Rep. Katie Porter in California was criticized for cryptocurrency mining in a letter she co-signed with a known crypto skeptic. But during her Senate primary, every negative ad against her was funded by crypto, highlighting the complex nature of the crypto influence in elections.
Ripple CEO Garlinghouse argues that even without direct mention of crypto, the commercials were still educating voters. But Stark is not convinced, stating that elected officials were clear in their support of crypto, and it remains to be seen if voters truly understood the implications.
The video above was produced by Brit McCandless Farmer and edited by Scott Rosann.