After a day of market activity, Dow Jones futures saw a slight decline following the November jobs report. Stocks like DocuSign (DOCU), GitLab (GTLB), and Samsara (IOT) reported earnings, while the stock market rally showed modest losses despite hitting new highs intraday. Small caps extended their pullback. Bitcoin also traded above $100,000 but off early peaks. Many crypto plays erased their intraday gains. Microsoft (MSFT) cleared short-term highs, offering fresh early entries. Tesla (TSLA) moved above a trading range to a new two-year high. A number of highly extended stocks became more so, and investors need a game plan. Navigating the After-Hours Market: Insights and Opportunities
Jobs Report and Its Impact
The Labor Department will report the November jobs report at 8:30 a.m. ET. Economists expect nonfarm payrolls to rise by 200,000 after job growth cooled in October due to hurricanes and strikes. The jobless rate is expected to tick up to 4.2%, and the annual gain in average hourly earnings should edge down to 3.9%. This report could have a significant impact on the market and various stocks.
For example, companies like Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) and retailers like Lululemon Athletica (LULU), Victoria’s Secret (VSCO), and Ulta Beauty (ULTA) reported earnings along with other notable software makers. Some stocks like Rubrik, Asana, DocuSign, Ulta Beauty, Victoria’s Secret, Lululemon, and GitLab saw big gains overnight, while others like Samsara stock plunged late. HPE was little changed, and GitLab closed modestly below a buy point.
Stock Market Rally and Leading Stocks
The stock market rally faded into the close Thursday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average declining 0.55%, the S&P 500 index and Nasdaq composite retreating 0.2%, and the small-cap Russell 2000 falling 1.25%. Leading stocks are generally faring well, with speculative stocks coming on strong. Airline stocks jumped on bullish guidance from American Airlines (AAL) and Southwest Airlines (LUV). However, several software plays tumbled on results Thursday after big earnings winners on Wednesday. Homebuilders continue to struggle even with Treasury yields at their lowest levels in weeks.
For instance, Microsoft stock is on IBD Long-Term Leaders, and BlackRock was Thursday’s IBD Stock Of The Day. Confluent stock was Wednesday’s pick. These leading stocks play a crucial role in the market and attract investors' attention.
Bitcoin and Cryptocurrency Market
Bitcoin rose 0.2% to $99,137.34 as of 4 p.m. ET vs. 24 hours earlier. It came off early Thursday highs of $103,900 after topping the $100,000 level for the first time Wednesday night. MicroStrategy stock, which jumped to 444.94 soon after the open, reversed to close down 4.8% to 386.40. MSTR stock is off 0.3% for the week but up nearly 513% so far in 2024. Coinbase stock backed off a record high of 349.49 to finish down 3.1% to 320.57. But COIN stock is up 8.2% for the week and 84% in 2024.
The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile and influenced by various factors. These fluctuations have an impact on related ETFs as well.
ETF Market and Its Performance
Among growth ETFs, the Innovator IBD 50 ETF (FFTY) dipped 0.2%. The iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF (IGV) gave up 1.2%, with Microsoft stock being a big component along with other software stocks. The VanEck Vectors Semiconductor ETF (SMH) sank 1.7%, with Nvidia as the dominant holding. ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK) declined 0.7% and ARK Genomics ETF (ARKG) slumped 3.6%. Tesla stock remains a major component across Ark Invest’s ETFs. Cathie Wood also has a sizable stake in NVDA stock. SPDR S&P Metals & Mining ETF (XME) shed 0.7%. U.S. Global Jets ETF (JETS) ascended 3.1%, with American Airlines and Southwest both big components. SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF (XHB) stepped down 1.5%. The Energy Select SPDR ETF (XLE) rose 0.4%. The Health Care Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLV) fell 1.1% and the Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLI) lost 1.2%. The Financial Select SPDR ETF (XLF) climbed 0.3%.
Each ETF performs differently based on the underlying assets and market conditions, providing various investment opportunities and risks.
Tesla Stock and Its Position
Tesla stock popped 3.2% to 369.49 on Thursday, clearing a recent range to hit a fresh two-year high. Bank of America raised its TSLA price target to 400 from 350 in a highly bullish note, expecting Tesla robotaxis and the Optimus robot in the near future.
However, Tesla stock is significantly extended from key moving averages. Investors need to consider when to sell if they own greatly extended stocks. It depends on their conviction and investing style. Some may hold for the big run, while others may want to cash in. Partial profits can be taken on the way up, and major point losses or drops through the 10-day line can be used as exit strategies on the way down.