Futures
Wall Street Indexes Slip as Inflation Data Looms
2024-12-09
(Reuters) - On Monday, Wall Street's main indexes faced a downward trend. The decline in AI powerhouse Nvidia had a significant impact on tech stocks, causing unease among investors. China's market regulator's investigation into Nvidia over suspected antitrust law violations led the information technology sector to drop by 0.4%. Chipmaker Nvidia itself lost 3.1%, and its peer Advanced Micro Devices also fell 4.2% as BofA Global Research downgraded its stock rating. A gauge of semiconductor stocks declined by 0.7%.

Impact on the Market and Investor Sentiment

"Names like Nvidia are coming under pressure due to China's retaliatory actions, which is putting some stress on the tech space," said Robert Pavlik, senior portfolio manager at Dakota Wealth. "People are currently trying to figure out their strategies between now and the end of the year. Those who are positioning may be considering taking some profit before moving into the next year."At 11:26 a.m. ET, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 94.95 points, or 0.22%, to 44,547.57. The S&P 500 lost 27.02 points, or 0.44%, to 6,063.25, and the Nasdaq Composite lost 96.30 points, or 0.48%, to 19,763.66.Comcast lost 7.6% after forecasting broadband subscriber losses of a little over 100,000 for the fourth quarter, pulling down the communication services sector by 1.1%. Hershey, on the other hand, jumped 12% to lead gainers on the S&P 500 after a report said Cadbury-parent Mondelez was exploring an acquisition of the chocolate maker. Mondelez shares were off 2.4%.On the data front, the consumer prices index (CPI) data due on Wednesday is one of the last major datasets before the Federal Reserve's Dec. 17-18 meeting and could influence the central bank's monetary policy path.After data on Friday showed a rise in the unemployment rate to 4.2% in November, pointing to an easing labor market, bets of a 25-basis-point rate cut at the upcoming meeting increased to more than 85%. A host of Fed officials, including Chair Jerome Powell, last week urged more caution regarding the central bank's monetary policy easing path considering the economy's resilience.Wall Street's main indexes started December on a generally positive note, with the benchmark S&P 500 and the tech-heavy Nasdaq recording gains in their first week, while the blue-chip Dow ended the week slightly lower.U.S. equities surged in November as Donald Trump's victory in the presidential election and his party sweeping both houses of Congress raised expectations of a more favorable policy stance towards companies.Among notable movers on Monday, Workday added 6.3% on its planned inclusion into the S&P 500 index. Interpublic Group advanced 7.2% after a report said marketing conglomerate Omnicom was in advanced talks to acquire the advertising company. Omnicom shares were down 8.7%.Advancing issues outnumbered decliners by a 1.12-to-1 ratio on the NYSE and by a 1.15-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq. The S&P 500 posted 18 new 52-week highs and 2 new lows while the Nasdaq Composite recorded 97 new highs and 34 new lows.(Reporting by Purvi Agarwal and Shashwat Chauhan in Bengaluru; Editing by Maju Samuel and Devika Syamnath)
ICE Announces Launch of Japanese Power Futures on Global Energy Platform
2024-12-09
Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (NYSE:ICE) has made a significant move in the global energy arena by introducing Japanese Power Futures. This new offering aims to provide market participants with enhanced tools to manage their energy market exposures.

Empowering Energy Market Participants with Japanese Power Futures

Overview of Japanese Power Futures

ICE has launched four Japanese Power Financial Baseload and Peakload Futures specifically designed for the Tokyo and Kansai areas. These futures allow market participants to effectively hedge against the day-ahead auction price fluctuations of the Japanese Electric Power Exchange (JEPX) in these regions. By offering these futures on a unified platform along with other energy contracts like natural gas, coal, oil, clean energy attributes, and carbon contracts, ICE is positioning itself as a key player in energy market navigation.Natural gas and coal play a crucial role in Japan's electricity generation, and through trading these contracts on ICE, customers gain access to improved price dissemination. The launch of Japanese Power Financial Futures includes monthly, quarterly, and seasonal contracts, as well as a Calendar and Fiscal Year contract. This diverse range of contract options provides flexibility to market participants in managing their positions and price differences across different regions.Customers can also trade spreads between Tokyo and Kansai to manage regional price risks. This feature allows for more precise risk management and enables participants to take advantage of price differentials between the two areas.

Liquidity and Global Reach

ICE's global energy markets are renowned for their liquidity, making them the go-to platform for trading energy derivatives. The addition of Japanese Power futures further strengthens ICE's global energy offering, which already includes benchmark prices such as JKM LNG (Platts) for natural gas in North-East Asia, the global benchmark TTF, the U.S. benchmark Henry Hub, and globalCOAL Newcastle Coal Futures. ICE also offers over 800 oil and refined products, including ICE Brent. The open interest across ICE's energy markets has seen a 20% year-over-year increase, highlighting the growing demand and significance of these energy contracts.This liquidity and global reach provide market participants with a seamless trading experience and access to a wide range of energy markets. It allows for efficient price discovery and enables participants to make informed trading decisions based on global market trends.

Benefits for Market Participants

For market participants, the launch of Japanese Power Futures offers several benefits. Firstly, it provides a centralized platform to manage exposure to Japanese electricity markets, reducing complexity and increasing efficiency. Secondly, the diverse range of contract options allows for customized risk management strategies based on individual trading needs. Thirdly, the improved price dissemination through trading on ICE helps participants make more accurate pricing decisions and stay informed about market dynamics.Moreover, the global reach of ICE's energy markets enables participants to access international markets and diversify their portfolios. This is particularly important in today's interconnected energy markets where global events and trends can have a significant impact on local markets.In conclusion, the launch of Japanese Power Futures by Intercontinental Exchange is a major milestone in the global energy market. It provides market participants with a powerful tool to manage their energy market exposures and navigate the complex world of energy trading. With its liquidity, global reach, and diverse range of contract options, ICE is well-positioned to lead the way in energy market innovation.
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Fund Traders' Record-Long Hog Futures Position: An Update
2024-12-09
Even though cash cattle traded higher last week, live and feeder cattle futures closed lower for the week. Northern dressed cattle traded $2.00 higher with Southern live cattle trading steady to $2.00 higher. Traders did not get too excited over the higher cash but remained cautious over the upside price potential. Boxed beef prices were mixed with choice up $4.20 and down select down $0.37. Packers will try their best to improve margins and may continue to slow the slaughter pace to accomplish that task. Cattle imports from Mexico remain restricted, which may continue to provide support as long as that remains in place. It is uncertain how many cattle packers have purchased for deferred delivery but one major packer had already purchased some cattle for delivery during the last week of December. The fund traders added 5,528 long futures positions in live cattle over the week ended Dec. 3, increasing their net-long positions to 123,878 contracts. They added 2,054 futures positions bringing their net-long position in feeder cattle to 17,521.

Steady to Higher Cash May Continue

Cattle imports from Mexico remaining restricted is likely to keep the cash market steady to higher. This supply restriction has the potential to further tighten the supply situation in the long run. Traders are closely monitoring this situation as it could have a significant impact on the cattle market.There is a sense of uncertainty among traders regarding the future direction of the cash market. However, the ongoing restriction on cattle imports from Mexico provides a certain level of support and stability.

Cattle Futures May Be Rolling Over

With the end of the year approaching, there is a possibility of further liquidation in cattle futures. This could lead to a rolling over of the futures market, with more downside risk than upside potential. Traders are cautious about this situation and are closely observing the market trends.The current market conditions suggest that cattle futures may be entering a phase of consolidation or correction. The uncertainty surrounding the end-of-year period and the potential for liquidation is causing some traders to adopt a more conservative approach.

Choice Boxed Beef Prices Continue to Push Higher

The choice boxed beef prices have been on an upward trend, moving the choice/select spread to a wide $35.31. This indicates strong demand in the market for choice beef. Traders are taking note of this trend and are adjusting their strategies accordingly.The continuous increase in choice boxed beef prices is a positive sign for the beef industry. It reflects the growing demand for high-quality beef and provides an opportunity for producers to capitalize on this trend.

Hog Traders Continue to Trade the Trend

Hog traders are actively trading the trend and are not hesitant to add to their long positions to support it. This shows their confidence in the hog market and their belief that the upward trend will continue.The trading behavior of hog traders indicates a positive sentiment in the market. They are willing to take risks and invest in the hog market, which is likely to have a positive impact on the market dynamics.

The Large Drop in Cash Hogs Friday

The large drop in cash hogs on Friday has put some pressure on the market. Traders are cautious about adding to their long positions in the wake of this drop.The market is likely to be affected by the Friday's drop in cash hogs. Traders will need to carefully assess the situation and make informed decisions regarding their positions.For our next livestock update, please visit our Midday Livestock comments between 11 a.m. and noon CST. Also, stay tuned to our Quick Takes throughout the day for periodic updates on the futures markets.**As a new administration prepares to take office, farmers are preparing for the next growing season. In this year’s DTN Ag Summit, we’ll examine the state of national farm policy, including timing on a farm bill, makeup of the ag committees and new leadership at USDA. A few of the winners of this year’s America’s Best Farmers and Ranchers award share what they’ve learned from selling directly to consumers, and the DTN markets and weather team will offer their perspective on what’s in store for 2025.The DTN Ag Summit is scheduled for Dec. 5-6, 2024. Use this link to sign up: https://dtn.link/…Robin Schmahl can be reached at rschmahl@agdairy.com
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