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Futures

Stock Futures Rise as Dow Ends Strong November 2024

2024-11-29

The stock market witnessed a remarkable upward trend on Friday as it kicked off a shortened trading period, setting the stage for a strong month in equities. The Dow Jones Industrial Average demonstrated significant growth, climbing 155 points or 0.3%. Simultaneously, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite also added 0.2% and 0.1% respectively. This upward momentum was partly fueled by chip stocks, which experienced a notable surge after Bloomberg reported that the Biden administration was contemplating additional barriers on the sale of semiconductor equipment to China, which were less stringent than initially anticipated. Applied Materials and Lam Research each witnessed rallies of more than 2%, while Nvidia jumped over 1%. The iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) also added more than 1%. These moves came as traders looked forward to the end of a winning week and month. November trading was largely centered around the post-election rally that followed President-elect Donald Trump's victory. The Dow has now added more than 1% for the week to date, pushing its gain for November above 7%. This marks the best month for the Dow since November 2023. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite have advanced 0.7% and 0.4% respectively during the week. Both are set to end 2024's penultimate month with gains of more than 5%. The small cap-focused Russell 2000 outperformed in November as investors recognized the potential benefits of Trump's proposed tax cuts. The Russell 2000 has surged more than 11% this month, with a gain of more than 1% this week.However, the stock market was closed on Thursday and will close at 1 p.m. ET on Friday in observance of the Thanksgiving holiday. There are no significant economic data releases or corporate earnings reports expected on this day, and trading is expected to be relatively light.The three major indexes opened Friday's shortened trading session in positive territory. The Dow rose about 0.3% shortly after 9:30 a.m. ET. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite each inched up around 0.2%. The stock market will close at 1 p.m. ET on Friday after the Thanksgiving holiday break. Trading conditions are expected to remain light.Some stocks are making notable moves in the premarket. MicroStrategy, a bitcoin development company, saw its shares jump more than 5%, continuing the approximately 10% gain from the previous session as the price of cryptocurrency continued to climb. The stock has experienced massive gains this year, surging more than 515%. Chip equipment stocks also moved higher following a report that the Biden administration is considering more restrictions on the sales of semiconductor equipment and AI memory chips to China, which may be less strict than expected. Shares of U.S.-based companies Applied Materials, Lam Research, and KLA Corp rose between 1.3% and 2.2%, while Dutch equipment maker ASML gained 1.5% based on the Bloomberg report, which cited unnamed sources. Key retailers were marginally higher as Black Friday shopping got underway. Walmart, the country's largest retailer, rose more than 0.2%, while shares of Target and Costco advanced 0.6% and 0.3% respectively.Gold and silver prices are on track to experience their biggest monthly declines of 2024. Gold has slid more than 2% in November, marking its worst month since September 2023 when it fell more than 5%. Silver has dropped more than 4% this month, which would be its largest monthly loss since December 2023 when it tumbled more than 6%.The U.S. is considering new restrictions on the sale of AI memory chips to China, according to a Bloomberg report that cited sources familiar with the matter. However, the barriers under consideration are not as strict as some previously expected proposals. According to the report, the restrictions could be implemented as early as next week and could impact Micron Technology, along with some Taiwan-based companies and suppliers to Huawei Technologies. Micron shares were flat, while AI chipmaker Nvidia added 1.5% before the bell. Dutch semiconductor equipment maker ASML Holding added more than 1%, while U.S.-based Lam Research, KLA Corp, and Applied Materials gained at least 2% each.

During the Thanksgiving holiday, trading resumed on Friday but ended early. The stock market closed at 1 p.m. ET, and the bond market at 2 p.m. On Christmas Eve, which is Tuesday, Dec. 24, the markets maintained these shorter hours and were closed on Christmas Day. The bond market also had an early closure on New Year’s Eve, Tuesday, Dec. 31. Both markets were closed on New Year’s Day, Wednesday, Jan. 1, and reopened the next day.

Major Indexes Set to Post Big Monthly Gains

Thanks to the post-election rally, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500, and Nasdaq Composite are on track to achieve significant monthly gains. In recent weeks, these major indexes have reached a series of record highs. As of Friday’s trading session, the Dow has seen a 7% increase this month, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq are both up by about 5%. This remarkable performance showcases the strength and resilience of the U.S. financial markets.The post-election environment has provided a favorable backdrop for these index gains. Investors have shown confidence in the market, leading to a continuous upward trend. This growth is not only beneficial for individual investors but also has a significant impact on the overall economy. It indicates a positive outlook for businesses and encourages further investment and economic activity.

TradingView Insights on Major Indexes

Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average were up by 0.3%. This indicates a potential for a higher opening on the index. The S&P 500 futures also showed a 0.2% increase, suggesting a similar upward movement. Additionally, the Nasdaq 100 futures were up by 0.2%, further reinforcing the positive sentiment in the market. These trading view data provide valuable insights into the market’s expectations and potential direction. It allows investors to make more informed decisions and adjust their portfolios accordingly. The consistent upward movement in futures suggests that the major indexes are likely to continue their upward trend in the near future.

Impact of Holiday Trading Schedule on Market Volatility

The early closures during the holiday season can have an impact on market volatility. With shorter trading hours, there may be less liquidity in the market, which can lead to increased price fluctuations. However, historical data shows that these short-term disruptions usually have a minimal impact on the overall market trend. Investors need to be aware of these potential changes and adjust their trading strategies accordingly. It is important to consider both the short-term and long-term effects of the holiday trading schedule on market volatility. By doing so, investors can better manage their risks and take advantage of the market opportunities.In conclusion, the holiday trading schedule in the U.S. financial markets has a significant impact on trading hours and market performance. The major indexes are set to post big monthly gains, driven by the post-election rally. Futures indicate a higher open for the major indexes, providing positive signals for investors. However, investors also need to be aware of the potential impact of the holiday trading schedule on market volatility. By understanding these factors, investors can make more informed decisions and navigate the market more effectively.

On Friday, the stock market witnessed some interesting trends. The Dow Jones Industrial Average and other major stock indexes traded higher, with Nvidia (NVDA) making a comeback and Tesla (TSLA) aiming to end a three-day losing streak. This article delves into the details of these market movements and explores the performance of key stocks.

Unraveling the Friday Stock Market Story

Stock Market Indexes on Friday

After the opening bell, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 0.4%, while the S&P 500 and the tech-heavy Nasdaq composite also showed positive movements. The 10-year Treasury yield ticked lower to 4.2%, and oil prices climbed, with West Texas Intermediate futures trading around $69.20 per barrel. Among exchange traded funds, the Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) moved up 0.3%, and the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) added 0.2% after the open. The stock market closed early at 1 p.m. ET.In the early hours of Friday, there were various movements in different sectors. Cracks emerged in Nvidia's AI armor, raising questions for investors. Meanwhile, Tesla moved up 1.9% in morning action, looking to break its losing streak. Shares of Tesla remain sharply extended past a 264.86 cup-with-handle entry even after reversing off new highs on Monday.

Nvidia's Stock Performance

Nvidia stock bounced 1.3% on Friday, trying to rebound after a sharp pullback in the last few trading sessions. While shares declined 1.2% on Wednesday, they halted their slide at the 10-week moving average line, which is an important area to monitor. If the stock breaks this level with heavy volume, further downside could be expected. Conversely, a decisive rebound would place the AI stock in a new buy area.

Dow Jones and Other Key Stocks

On Wednesday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.3% after hitting an all-time high. The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq composite also declined. Among the best companies to watch on the stock market today are Embraer (ERJ), Cloudflare (NET), TJX (TJX), and Tradeweb Markets (TW). Dow Jones components like Amazon.com (AMZN), Apple (AAPL), Microsoft (MSFT), and Sherwin-Williams (SHW) made notable moves. Sherwin-Williams and Cloudflare were featured in the Stocks Near A Buy Zone column. There were no new stocks on IBD MarketSurge's "Breaking Out Today" list on Wednesday, but potential breakouts can be found on the "Near Pivot" list.

Industry Group and IPOs

Dow Jones leader Sherwin-Williams is breaking out past a 392.57 buy point in a flat base, with shares up 0.7% on Friday. Outside the Dow Jones index, Cloudflare broke out last week, topping a 99.17 buy point in a cup with handle. The 5% buy zone runs up to 104.13, and shares are currently in the buy range. Embraer is in buy range above an alternative entry at 39.46 and is a recent IBD Stock Of The Day, although shares dropped 0.8% early Friday. Retailer TJX is above a 121.13 flat-base entry after strong gains and climbed 0.1% in early Friday trading. Finally, Tradeweb closed Wednesday just below a 136.13 entry in a flat base and moved up 0.4% on Friday.

Magnificent Seven Stocks

Among Magnificent Seven stocks, Alphabet (GOOGL) dropped 0.6% in morning trading and plunged below its 50-day line last week but is trying to rebound. Meta Platforms (META) is getting closer to a flat base's 602.95 buy point amid recent gains and was up 0.5% on Friday. Among Dow Jones components in the Magnificent Seven, Amazon stock rallied sharply this week and decisively retaken a 201.20 buy point, although it fell 0.2% in early trading on Friday. Shares of Apple are within striking distance of a flat base's 237.49 entry and were up 0.1% on Friday morning. Microsoft shares declined 0.8% on Friday morning but reclaimed its 50-day line during this week's gains.Be sure to follow Scott Lehtonen on X at @IBD_SLehtonen for more on growth stocks, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, and the stock market today.