Cryptocurrency
MicroStrategy's Bitcoin Holdings Drop: Buy, Sell or Hold?
2024-12-03
MicroStrategy (MSTR) stands out as the leading corporate holder of bitcoin. It continues to enhance its financial reserves. As a result, the stock's price frequently fluctuates in tandem with the cryptocurrency's value. Now, with bitcoin experiencing a decline from its peaks, the question arises: Is MicroStrategy stock a buy, sell, or hold?
Bitcoin's Surge and MicroStrategy's Response
In late November, following Donald Trump's presidential election victory, bitcoin prices skyrocketed to nearly $100,000. Subsequently, MicroStrategy stock also witnessed a remarkable upward trend and reached new highs. The president-elect is regarded as cryptocurrency-friendly and has pledged to retain the country's bitcoins. Currently, the U.S. government holds over 207,000 bitcoins, mostly seized from criminal activities. Trump even addressed the largest bitcoin conference in July in Nashville, Tenn., stating that America would become "the crypto capital of the planet and bitcoin superpower of the world."MicroStrategy's Bitcoin Purchases
MicroStrategy seems insatiable when it comes to cryptocurrencies. Last week, it added another 15,400 bitcoins with a value of $1.5 billion. This forms part of its $13.5 billion bitcoin purchases since October 31, as reported by The Wall Street Journal. Currently, its holdings amount to 402,100 bitcoins, with a current value exceeding $38 billion.MicroStrategy's Business and Its Stock Performance
Although MicroStrategy is primarily a data analytics and security software provider, it utilizes artificial intelligence in its reporting tools, interactive dashboards, and platform. It serves various industries such as retail, financial services, government, and healthcare. Since the election, MicroStrategy stock has been highly volatile. It is in an extended long, late-stage irregular base with a 200 buy point. The stock reached an all-time high on November 21 but then reversed, closing 16.2% lower on the same day with heavy volume. The sharp turnabout occurred after Citron Research shorted the stock on X as a hedge against its own holdings. However, the stock is now attempting to stabilize after the significant drop. MicroStrategy stock holds a best-possible 99 Relative Strength Rating and climbed 58% in November and around 500% so far this year. On August 7, the stock underwent a 10-for-1 split.MicroStrategy's Financial Results
The data analytics company reported its third-quarter results on October 30. It reported a loss of $1.56 per share, mainly due to fair market adjustments of its digital asset holdings. However, its Q3 revenue also declined by 10% compared to the previous year's quarter. The company's sales have been on a downward trend for six out of the last eight quarters. Analysts expect continued but narrower losses over the next four quarters. Sales forecasts range from a 1% drop in the current quarter to modest increases of 1% to 3% in the next three quarters. Its Accumulation/Distribution Rating of A- indicates significant institutional buying over the past 13 weeks, with mutual funds adding shares for the past seven quarters.Investment Considerations for MicroStrategy Stock
The bottom line is that MicroStrategy stock is not in a buy zone at present, so it is not a recommended buy. Investors should wait for a new base to form. If you already own the stock, as always, have a well-defined risk management strategy in place and be prepared to sell if the stock drops 7% below your buy point. Given the stock's rapid upward movement, it would be wise to take some profits if you still have some after the late-November decline. Investors can explore IBD Stock Lists and other IBD content to discover dozens of other excellent stocks in addition to MicroStrategy.Follow Kimberley Koenig on X/Twitter @IBD_KKoenig for more stock market news.